Betting Lines
| Spread | MILW -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | DETM -102 MILW -118 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DETM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DETM +5 | 177 | Won |
| Massey | DETM -3.4 (+1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.6 (+21.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DETM -1.5 (+3.5) | 149.2 (+27.8) | 61% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DETM -2.7 (+2.3) | 147.9 (+29.1) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DETM -2.7 (+2.3) | 149.9 (+27.1) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DETM -3.5 (+1.5) | 151.1 (+25.9) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | DETM 84 – 63 MILW |
| Feb 5, 2026 | DETM 76 – 63 MILW |
| Mar 1, 2025 | MILW 89 – 67 DETM |
| Jan 4, 2025 | MILW 64 – 56 DETM |
| Mar 6, 2024 | MILW 83 – 79 DETM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DETM | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 8-12 |
| Home | 9-5 | 9-6 |
| Away | 7-9 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.7 | 79.9 |
| Massey | -5.5 (#255) | -5.9 (#260) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.59 (#226) | -0.93 (#251) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.84 (#234) | -1.36 (#265) |
| RPI | 0.475 (#236) | 0.463 (#252) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DETM | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 34.6% | 31.9% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.13 | 1.20 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 49.5% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 15.2% |
| ORB% | 34.1% | 33.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.3% | 23.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.6% | 55.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.0% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 70.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 28.1% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
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