Betting Lines
| Spread | MILW -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | MILW -265 DETM +215 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MILW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DETM +13 | 139 | Lost |
| Massey | MILW -4.4 (-17.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.7 (-19.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 62% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MILW -3.6 (-16.6) | 152.8 (-13.8) | 70% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MILW -5.5 (-18.5) | 151.7 (-12.7) | 74% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MILW -3.4 (-16.4) | 149.4 (-10.4) | 67% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MILW -3.4 (-16.4) | 151.0 (-12.0) | 70% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | DETM 84 – 63 MILW |
| Feb 21, 2026 | DETM 91 – 86 MILW |
| Mar 1, 2025 | MILW 89 – 67 DETM |
| Jan 4, 2025 | MILW 64 – 56 DETM |
| Mar 6, 2024 | MILW 83 – 79 DETM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MILW | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-20 | 17-15 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 12-8 |
| Home | 9-6 | 9-5 |
| Away | 3-14 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.7 | 76.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.9 | 78.7 |
| Massey | -5.3 (#247) | -6.6 (#266) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.86 (#245) | -0.87 (#246) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.22 (#254) | -1.13 (#246) |
| RPI | 0.458 (#249) | 0.456 (#253) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MILW | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.3% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.9% | 33.7% |
| REB / G | 36.1 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 13.0 | 13.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 1.12 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 48.4% |
| TOV% | 15.2% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 33.8% | 34.8% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 24.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 55.1% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.0% | 14.1% |
| DRB% | 69.6% | 68.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.8% | 29.0% |
Game Analysis
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