Betting Lines
| Spread | MILW -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | DETM +360 MILW -500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DETM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MILW +8 | 120 | Lost |
| Massey | MILW -5.3 (-2.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.0 (-28.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 39% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MILW -5.7 (-2.3) | 143.1 (-23.1) | 26% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MILW -6.3 (-1.7) | 142.3 (-22.3) | 22% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MILW -6.0 (-2.0) | 143.8 (-23.8) | 29% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MILW -5.4 (-2.6) | 145.0 (-25.0) | 27% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | DETM 84 – 63 MILW |
| Feb 21, 2026 | DETM 91 – 86 MILW |
| Feb 5, 2026 | DETM 76 – 63 MILW |
| Mar 1, 2025 | MILW 89 – 67 DETM |
| Mar 6, 2024 | MILW 83 – 79 DETM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DETM | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 21-11 |
| Conference | 4-16 | 14-6 |
| Home | 6-7 | 13-3 |
| Away | 2-15 | 7-8 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L8 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.3 | 76.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.6 | 72.5 |
| Massey | -8.2 (#298) | 1.2 (#140) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.76 (#243) | 0.45 (#132) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.45 (#269) | 0.71 (#126) |
| RPI | 0.476 (#210) | 0.525 (#122) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DETM | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 46.9% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 38.7 | 40.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.7 | 14.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.81 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 44.9% | 52.4% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 20.7% |
| ORB% | 32.3% | 41.4% |
| FT Rate | 20.5% | 24.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 72.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.9% | 22.8% |
Game Analysis
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