Betting Lines
| Spread | MILW -11.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | MILW -800 DETM +500 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | MILW win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | MILW +4 | 162 | Won |
| Massey | MILW -14.6 (-10.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.8 (+7.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MILW -12.5 (-8.5) | 151.1 (+10.9) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MILW -10.5 (-6.5) | 151.9 (+10.1) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MILW -12.2 (-8.2) | 151.6 (+10.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | MILW -12.5 (-8.5) | 152.5 (+9.5) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | DETM 84 – 63 MILW |
| Feb 21, 2026 | DETM 91 – 86 MILW |
| Feb 5, 2026 | DETM 76 – 63 MILW |
| Mar 1, 2025 | MILW 89 – 67 DETM |
| Jan 4, 2025 | MILW 64 – 56 DETM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | MILW | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-15 | 1-31 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 1-19 |
| Home | 12-4 | 1-11 |
| Away | 6-9 | 0-20 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L5 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.0 | 66.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.5 | 80.2 |
| Massey | -3.6 (#235) | -14.9 (#350) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.36 (#213) | -4.16 (#363) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.80 (#245) | -4.82 (#361) |
| RPI | 0.496 (#184) | 0.374 (#355) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | MILW | DETM |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 41.9% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 27.8% |
| REB / G | 38.3 | 29.5 |
| OREB / G | 13.7 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.03 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 46.9% |
| TOV% | 18.6% | 19.2% |
| ORB% | 36.6% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 24.1% | 22.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 56.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 17.5% |
| DRB% | 66.2% | 64.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.8% | 24.8% |
Game Analysis
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