Betting Lines
| Spread | DETM -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | DETM -125 MILW +105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DETM win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DETM +21 | 147 | Won |
| Massey | DETM -3.6 (+17.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.4 (-9.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 78% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DETM -3.5 (+17.5) | 153.0 (-6.0) | 70% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DETM -1.8 (+19.2) | 152.0 (-5.0) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DETM -3.3 (+17.7) | 151.7 (-4.7) | 66% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DETM -2.7 (+18.3) | 153.4 (-6.4) | 70% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | DETM 91 – 86 MILW |
| Feb 5, 2026 | DETM 76 – 63 MILW |
| Mar 1, 2025 | MILW 89 – 67 DETM |
| Jan 4, 2025 | MILW 64 – 56 DETM |
| Mar 6, 2024 | MILW 83 – 79 DETM |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DETM | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 12-20 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 8-12 |
| Home | 9-5 | 9-6 |
| Away | 7-9 | 3-14 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.3 | 74.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.7 | 79.9 |
| Massey | -4.9 (#245) | -5.5 (#254) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.37 (#210) | -0.95 (#254) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.63 (#223) | -1.33 (#261) |
| RPI | 0.488 (#212) | 0.464 (#253) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DETM | MILW |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 36.6 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 12.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 1.22 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 15.5% |
| ORB% | 33.4% | 33.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.3% | 22.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 55.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.3% | 15.9% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 70.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.7% | 26.5% |
Game Analysis
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