Betting Lines
| Spread | LR -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | LR -500 LIN +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LR win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | LR +14 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | LR -12.0 (+2.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.5 (-9.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 85% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | LR -9.6 (+4.4) | 148.8 (-2.8) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | LR -9.3 (+4.7) | 147.7 (-1.7) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | LR -9.2 (+4.8) | 148.1 (-2.1) | 82% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | LR -9.6 (+4.4) | 151.6 (-5.6) | 81% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 5, 2026 | LIN 72 – 62 LR |
| Feb 6, 2026 | LIN 79 – 74 LR |
| Jan 10, 2026 | LR 82 – 74 LIN |
| Feb 21, 2025 | LIN 93 – 92 LR |
| Jan 25, 2025 | LR 78 – 46 LIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LR | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 9-22 |
| Conference | 14-4 | 3-15 |
| Home | 14-4 | 4-10 |
| Away | 6-6 | 3-12 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.3 | 63.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.5 | 74.9 |
| Massey | -5.7 (#275) | -14.1 (#346) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.21 (#283) | -2.29 (#343) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.29 (#277) | -2.93 (#341) |
| RPI | 0.402 (#327) | 0.378 (#345) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LR | LIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.2% | 39.5% |
| 3PT% | 32.9% | 29.1% |
| REB / G | 36.3 | 31.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 8.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.15 | 0.55 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 44.0% |
| TOV% | 16.8% | 18.8% |
| ORB% | 31.6% | 22.9% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 29.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.7% | 17.4% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.6% | 32.2% |
Game Analysis
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