Betting Lines
| Spread | YSU -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 147.5 Under |
| Money | IUIN +700 YSU -1400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YSU +28 | 128 | Lost |
| Massey | YSU -16.0 (-12.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.1 (-16.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 8% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 4% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YSU -14.4 (-13.6) | 143.6 (-15.6) | 13% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YSU -15.1 (-12.9) | 146.1 (-18.1) | 12% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YSU -13.6 (-14.4) | 144.3 (-16.3) | 13% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YSU -14.7 (-13.3) | 145.3 (-17.3) | 13% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | YSU 85 – 76 IUIN |
| Dec 6, 2025 | YSU 78 – 55 IUIN |
| Feb 1, 2025 | IUIN 84 – 79 YSU |
| Jan 1, 2025 | YSU 77 – 61 IUIN |
| Jan 7, 2024 | YSU 75 – 65 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IUIN | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 6-26 | 22-10 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 14-6 |
| Home | 4-10 | 14-3 |
| Away | 2-13 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L12 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.5 | 78.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 81.2 | 72.4 |
| Massey | -16.7 (#361) | 3.0 (#125) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.84 (#354) | 0.35 (#142) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.62 (#354) | 0.41 (#145) |
| RPI | 0.375 (#349) | 0.515 (#141) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IUIN | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 43.9% |
| 3PT% | 27.2% | 34.4% |
| REB / G | 29.7 | 38.0 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.71 | 1.34 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.5% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 21.1% | 15.6% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.9% | 19.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.5% | 49.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.8% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 65.4% | 72.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 21.1% |
Game Analysis
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