Betting Lines
| Spread | YSU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 171.5 Under |
| Money | IUIN +235 YSU -290 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YSU +23 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | YSU -3.4 (-19.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 181.1 (-48.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YSU -2.4 (-20.6) | 154.6 (-21.6) | 48% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YSU -3.9 (-19.1) | 157.9 (-24.9) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YSU -3.1 (-19.9) | 157.1 (-24.1) | 40% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YSU -4.0 (-19.0) | 159.5 (-26.5) | 50% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | YSU 85 – 76 IUIN |
| Feb 1, 2025 | IUIN 84 – 79 YSU |
| Jan 1, 2025 | YSU 77 – 61 IUIN |
| Jan 26, 2024 | YSU 78 – 50 IUIN |
| Jan 7, 2024 | YSU 75 – 65 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IUIN | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-25 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 3-17 | 8-12 |
| Home | 5-9 | 10-5 |
| Away | 2-15 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L7 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 80.9 | 75.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 89.2 | 74.9 |
| Massey | -9.4 (#309) | -1.0 (#181) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.25 (#281) | -0.22 (#199) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.73 (#271) | -0.59 (#209) |
| RPI | 0.399 (#319) | 0.488 (#191) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IUIN | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.0% | 45.3% |
| 3PT% | 33.2% | 35.6% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.48 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.5% | 54.4% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 20.9% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 29.2% |
| FT Rate | 14.0% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 58.6% | 50.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.1% | 20.1% |
| DRB% | 60.9% | 66.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.6% | 28.6% |
Game Analysis
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