Betting Lines
| Spread | YSU -9.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Over |
| Money | YSU -750 IUIN +475 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | IUIN +5 | 163 | Lost |
| Massey | YSU -10.5 (-15.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.9 (+17.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YSU -8.5 (-13.5) | 146.1 (+16.9) | 80% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YSU -11.4 (-16.4) | 148.6 (+14.4) | 84% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YSU -8.8 (-13.8) | 146.3 (+16.7) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | YSU -8.5 (-13.5) | 146.7 (+16.3) | 78% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | YSU 85 – 76 IUIN |
| Dec 6, 2025 | YSU 78 – 55 IUIN |
| Jan 1, 2025 | YSU 77 – 61 IUIN |
| Jan 26, 2024 | YSU 78 – 50 IUIN |
| Jan 7, 2024 | YSU 75 – 65 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YSU | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-13 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 6-14 |
| Home | 10-5 | 6-8 |
| Away | 9-6 | 4-12 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.7 | 72.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.6 | 79.7 |
| Massey | -2.9 (#211) | -10.1 (#321) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.28 (#194) | -2.40 (#339) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.42 (#199) | -2.73 (#336) |
| RPI | 0.469 (#232) | 0.390 (#343) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YSU | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 40.7% |
| 3PT% | 29.8% | 35.3% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 31.8 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 10.7 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.03 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.1% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 27.7% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.0% | 27.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.8% | 56.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 69.3% | 69.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.7% | 31.1% |
Game Analysis
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