Betting Lines
| Spread | YSU -17.0 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.0 Under |
| Money | YSU -2000 IUIN +1050 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YSU +10 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | YSU -24.3 (-14.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.1 (-4.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 99% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YSU -16.1 (-6.1) | 144.8 (-4.8) | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YSU -18.5 (-8.5) | 145.4 (-5.4) | 90% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YSU -17.6 (-7.6) | 143.6 (-3.6) | 91% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YSU -18.3 (-8.3) | 144.3 (-4.3) | 91% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | YSU 85 – 76 IUIN |
| Dec 6, 2025 | YSU 78 – 55 IUIN |
| Feb 1, 2025 | IUIN 84 – 79 YSU |
| Jan 1, 2025 | YSU 77 – 61 IUIN |
| Jan 26, 2024 | YSU 78 – 50 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YSU | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-10 | 6-26 |
| Conference | 14-6 | 2-18 |
| Home | 14-3 | 4-10 |
| Away | 8-7 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L12 |
| Avg Pts For | 78.4 | 64.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.4 | 81.2 |
| Massey | 1.6 (#147) | -18.5 (#360) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.21 (#160) | -3.17 (#355) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.26 (#159) | -4.13 (#355) |
| RPI | 0.507 (#164) | 0.343 (#361) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YSU | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.5% | 42.6% |
| 3PT% | 34.2% | 23.3% |
| REB / G | 37.3 | 29.9 |
| OREB / G | 11.0 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.21 | 0.68 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 16.3% | 20.3% |
| ORB% | 30.0% | 29.8% |
| FT Rate | 18.2% | 24.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.2% | 58.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 72.8% | 65.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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