Betting Lines
| Spread | YSU -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Over |
| Money | YSU -650 IUIN +470 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | YSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YSU +9 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | YSU -10.6 (-1.6) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 166.4 (-5.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 81% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YSU -9.2 (-0.2) | 156.6 (+4.4) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YSU -9.3 (-0.3) | 158.3 (+2.7) | 83% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YSU -9.7 (-0.7) | 157.2 (+3.8) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YSU -8.8 (+0.2) | 158.2 (+2.8) | 82% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Dec 6, 2025 | YSU 78 – 55 IUIN |
| Feb 1, 2025 | IUIN 84 – 79 YSU |
| Jan 1, 2025 | YSU 77 – 61 IUIN |
| Jan 26, 2024 | YSU 78 – 50 IUIN |
| Jan 7, 2024 | YSU 75 – 65 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | YSU | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-17 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 8-12 | 3-17 |
| Home | 10-5 | 5-9 |
| Away | 4-11 | 2-15 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L3 | L7 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.1 | 80.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.9 | 89.2 |
| Massey | -3.1 (#215) | -10.6 (#319) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.06 (#257) | -1.92 (#326) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.13 (#242) | -2.44 (#322) |
| RPI | 0.426 (#308) | 0.394 (#342) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | YSU | IUIN |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.2% | 44.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 31.5% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 31.4 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 11.4 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.58 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.8% | 51.6% |
| TOV% | 19.3% | 15.8% |
| ORB% | 33.2% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 15.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 58.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 19.9% |
| DRB% | 67.5% | 62.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 32.5% | 34.6% |
Game Analysis
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