Betting Lines
| Spread | YSU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Under |
| Money | IUIN +195 YSU -230 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | IUIN win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | YSU +16 | 138 | Lost |
| Massey | YSU -1.7 (-14.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.1 (-4.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 11% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | YSU -2.7 (-13.3) | 139.9 (-1.9) | 36% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | YSU -4.2 (-11.8) | 143.1 (-5.1) | 27% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | YSU -3.2 (-12.8) | 141.2 (-3.2) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | YSU -2.2 (-13.8) | 141.9 (-3.9) | 38% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 30, 2026 | YSU 85 – 76 IUIN |
| Dec 6, 2025 | YSU 78 – 55 IUIN |
| Feb 1, 2025 | IUIN 84 – 79 YSU |
| Jan 26, 2024 | YSU 78 – 50 IUIN |
| Jan 7, 2024 | YSU 75 – 65 IUIN |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | IUIN | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-22 | 21-13 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 13-7 |
| Home | 6-8 | 10-5 |
| Away | 4-12 | 9-6 |
| Neutral | 0-2 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.4 | 73.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.7 | 72.6 |
| Massey | -8.2 (#301) | -2.3 (#201) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.63 (#341) | -0.06 (#176) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.31 (#340) | -0.36 (#192) |
| RPI | 0.367 (#353) | 0.459 (#254) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | IUIN | YSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.3% | 39.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.2% | 27.0% |
| REB / G | 31.0 | 35.7 |
| OREB / G | 9.7 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.90 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.1% | 45.4% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 28.1% | 27.8% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 56.8% | 45.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 67.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.0% | 27.2% |
Game Analysis
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