Betting Lines
| Spread | ORU -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Under |
| Money | ORU -138 OMA +150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | ORU +7 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | ORU -4.5 (+2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.4 (-11.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 75% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORU -2.0 (+5.0) | 151.3 (-10.3) | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORU -4.0 (+3.0) | 147.5 (-6.5) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORU -2.7 (+4.3) | 149.3 (-8.3) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | ORU -2.2 (+4.8) | 151.1 (-10.1) | 65% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | OMA 80 – 71 ORU |
| Jan 18, 2026 | OMA 73 – 62 ORU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | OMA 80 – 57 ORU |
| Jan 26, 2025 | OMA 84 – 76 ORU |
| Feb 23, 2024 | OMA 71 – 70 ORU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORU | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 5-11 | 7-9 |
| Home | 9-5 | 11-3 |
| Away | 2-13 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.1 | 72.3 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.0 | 74.7 |
| Massey | -2.9 (#213) | -3.7 (#236) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.91 (#261) | -1.30 (#291) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.12 (#262) | -1.18 (#267) |
| RPI | 0.449 (#267) | 0.415 (#314) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORU | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.3% | 44.2% |
| 3PT% | 38.4% | 32.2% |
| REB / G | 32.4 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 6.9 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.08 | 0.95 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 13.4% | 15.4% |
| ORB% | 19.6% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.4% | 33.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.6% | 52.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.9% | 16.6% |
| DRB% | 66.2% | 71.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 25.1% |
Game Analysis
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