Betting Lines
| Spread | OMA -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Under |
| Money | OMA -345 ORU +275 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OMA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OMA +9 | 151 | Won |
| Massey | OMA -9.4 (-0.4) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.5 (+0.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 89% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OMA -9.8 (-0.8) | 148.3 (+2.7) | 81% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OMA -9.4 (-0.4) | 149.5 (+1.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OMA -8.5 (+0.5) | 146.4 (+4.6) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OMA -8.0 (+1.0) | 147.8 (+3.2) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 18, 2026 | OMA 73 – 62 ORU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | OMA 80 – 57 ORU |
| Jan 26, 2025 | OMA 84 – 76 ORU |
| Feb 23, 2024 | OMA 71 – 70 ORU |
| Jan 26, 2024 | ORU 74 – 67 OMA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OMA | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 10-23 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 4-12 |
| Home | 10-4 | 7-8 |
| Away | 5-10 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 71.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 77.7 | 79.7 |
| Massey | -4.9 (#243) | -11.3 (#326) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.85 (#244) | -2.43 (#348) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.04 (#244) | -2.87 (#342) |
| RPI | 0.457 (#259) | 0.390 (#355) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OMA | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 40.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.1% | 30.6% |
| REB / G | 33.6 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 8.8 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.11 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.3% | 47.9% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 18.6% |
| ORB% | 26.6% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 25.5% | 25.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 54.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.3% | 14.7% |
| DRB% | 70.4% | 66.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 28.0% |
Game Analysis
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