Betting Lines
| Spread | OMA -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | OMA -175 ORU +188 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OMA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OMA +1 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | OMA -4.3 (-3.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.4 (-11.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OMA -3.0 (-2.0) | 153.1 (-12.1) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OMA -1.7 (-0.7) | 150.1 (-9.1) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OMA -2.5 (-1.5) | 149.5 (-8.5) | 65% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OMA -2.8 (-1.8) | 151.7 (-10.7) | 66% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | OMA 80 – 71 ORU |
| Jan 18, 2026 | OMA 73 – 62 ORU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | OMA 80 – 57 ORU |
| Jan 26, 2025 | OMA 84 – 76 ORU |
| Jan 26, 2024 | ORU 74 – 67 OMA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OMA | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 15-18 | 12-19 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 5-11 |
| Home | 11-3 | 9-5 |
| Away | 2-13 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 72.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.7 | 77.0 |
| Massey | -3.9 (#232) | -4.9 (#262) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.23 (#291) | -0.94 (#268) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.15 (#265) | -1.23 (#277) |
| RPI | 0.425 (#317) | 0.447 (#278) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OMA | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 43.8% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 36.8% |
| REB / G | 32.5 | 32.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 7.3 |
| AST / TO | 1.00 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 14.4% | 14.3% |
| ORB% | 24.8% | 20.9% |
| FT Rate | 30.5% | 20.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.8% | 51.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 14.8% |
| DRB% | 73.3% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 23.4% |
Game Analysis
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