Betting Lines
| Spread | ORU -1.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Under |
| Money | ORU -122 OMA +102 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OMA +11 | 135 | Lost |
| Massey | ORU -2.7 (-13.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 152.1 (-17.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 55% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 61% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | ORU -1.5 (-12.5) | 145.1 (-10.1) | 59% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | ORU -0.1 (-11.1) | 145.4 (-10.4) | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | ORU -1.8 (-12.8) | 145.2 (-10.2) | 59% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | ORU -1.5 (-12.5) | 146.0 (-11.0) | 56% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | OMA 80 – 71 ORU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | OMA 80 – 57 ORU |
| Jan 26, 2025 | OMA 84 – 76 ORU |
| Feb 23, 2024 | OMA 71 – 70 ORU |
| Jan 26, 2024 | ORU 74 – 67 OMA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORU | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-23 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 4-12 | 8-8 |
| Home | 7-8 | 10-4 |
| Away | 1-13 | 5-10 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.8 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 79.7 | 77.7 |
| Massey | -7.5 (#277) | -6.8 (#269) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.69 (#311) | -1.34 (#285) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.96 (#293) | -1.77 (#284) |
| RPI | 0.423 (#313) | 0.427 (#300) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORU | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.5% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.1% | 34.7% |
| REB / G | 30.9 | 32.6 |
| OREB / G | 9.6 | 8.8 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.9% | 52.1% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 17.4% |
| ORB% | 27.0% | 26.4% |
| FT Rate | 25.9% | 25.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.6% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.6% | 14.2% |
| DRB% | 63.4% | 68.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.3% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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