Betting Lines
| Spread | OMA -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 154.5 Over |
| Money | ORU +160 OMA -190 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | ORU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OMA +8 | 160 | Lost |
| Massey | OMA -5.5 (-2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 155.6 (+4.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 15% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 16% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OMA -5.0 (-3.0) | 150.4 (+9.6) | 30% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OMA -4.7 (-3.3) | 150.2 (+9.8) | 30% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OMA -5.7 (-2.3) | 150.7 (+9.3) | 24% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OMA -5.6 (-2.4) | 152.3 (+7.7) | 29% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | OMA 80 – 71 ORU |
| Jan 18, 2026 | OMA 73 – 62 ORU |
| Mar 1, 2025 | OMA 80 – 57 ORU |
| Feb 23, 2024 | OMA 71 – 70 ORU |
| Jan 26, 2024 | ORU 74 – 67 OMA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | ORU | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 7-23 | 22-13 |
| Conference | 3-13 | 13-3 |
| Home | 7-7 | 11-2 |
| Away | 0-15 | 7-9 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L3 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.1 | 77.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.0 | 76.2 |
| Massey | -10.5 (#324) | -1.7 (#195) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.46 (#344) | -0.15 (#189) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.85 (#336) | -0.46 (#206) |
| RPI | 0.380 (#346) | 0.494 (#191) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | ORU | OMA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.3% | 44.4% |
| 3PT% | 34.5% | 36.3% |
| REB / G | 29.1 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 9.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.84 | 1.06 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.2% | 51.5% |
| TOV% | 17.2% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 23.8% | 28.6% |
| FT Rate | 26.1% | 24.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 57.3% | 53.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 16.0% |
| DRB% | 65.3% | 74.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 30.2% | 28.1% |
Game Analysis
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