I got a baby's brain and an old man's heart "I'm Eighteen" - Alice Cooper
Summit League · Baxter Arena · March 1, 2025
Betting Lines
Spread OMA -10.5 Home covered
O/U 155.5 Under
Money OMA -700 / ORU +450
Model Predictions
Spread Total OMA win
Actual OMA +23 137 Won
Massey OMA -11.0 (+12.0)
Massey Totals 156.5 (-19.5)
Bradley-Terry 94%
Weighted B-T 95%
Efficiency Plus ML OMA -8.5 (+14.5) 150.7 (-13.7) 85%
Baseline Tuned ML OMA -10.3 (+12.7) 152.5 (-15.5) 84%
Baseline ML OMA -9.8 (+13.2) 155.8 (-18.8) 85%
Baseline Plus ML OMA -11.3 (+11.7) 153.2 (-16.2) 85%

Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →

Last 5 Meetings

Feb 19, 2026 OMA 8071 ORU
Jan 18, 2026 OMA 7362 ORU
Jan 26, 2025 OMA 8476 ORU
Feb 23, 2024 OMA 7170 ORU
Jan 26, 2024 ORU 7467 OMA

Team Comparison

Record & Ratings OMA ORU
Overall 22-13 7-23
Conference 13-3 3-13
Home 11-2 7-7
Away 7-9 0-15
Neutral 4-2 0-1
Last 5 3-2 1-4
Streak L1 L3
Avg Pts For 77.0 71.1
Avg Pts Against 76.2 82.0
Massey -1.4 (#185) -9.2 (#313)
Bradley-Terry -0.01 (#167) -2.17 (#336)
W. Bradley-Terry -0.25 (#187) -2.51 (#330)
RPI 0.509 (#168) 0.394 (#349)
Shooting & Four Factors OMA ORU
FG% 46.0% 42.4%
3PT% 36.8% 35.0%
REB / G 34.1 29.8
OREB / G 9.9 7.9
AST / TO 1.19 0.84
Four Factors — Offense
eFG% 53.0% 50.4%
TOV% 16.0% 16.0%
ORB% 29.1% 22.7%
FT Rate 26.9% 27.0%
Four Factors — Defense
Opp eFG% 54.6% 55.2%
Opp TOV% 15.1% 14.1%
DRB% 74.3% 67.3%
Opp FT Rate 27.9% 31.1%

Game Analysis

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