Betting Lines
| Spread | OMA -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 155.5 Under |
| Money | OMA -700 ORU +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OMA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OMA +23 | 137 | Won |
| Massey | OMA -11.0 (+12.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 156.5 (-19.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OMA -11.3 (+11.7) | 153.2 (-16.2) | 85% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OMA -8.5 (+14.5) | 150.7 (-13.7) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OMA -10.3 (+12.7) | 152.5 (-15.5) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OMA -9.8 (+13.2) | 155.8 (-18.8) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 19, 2026 | OMA 80 – 71 ORU |
| Jan 18, 2026 | OMA 73 – 62 ORU |
| Jan 26, 2025 | OMA 84 – 76 ORU |
| Feb 23, 2024 | OMA 71 – 70 ORU |
| Jan 26, 2024 | ORU 74 – 67 OMA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OMA | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 7-23 |
| Conference | 13-3 | 3-13 |
| Home | 11-2 | 7-7 |
| Away | 7-9 | 0-15 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L3 |
| Avg Pts For | 77.0 | 71.1 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.2 | 82.0 |
| Massey | -1.4 (#185) | -9.2 (#313) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.01 (#167) | -2.17 (#336) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.25 (#187) | -2.51 (#330) |
| RPI | 0.509 (#168) | 0.394 (#349) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OMA | ORU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.0% | 42.4% |
| 3PT% | 36.8% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 34.1 | 29.8 |
| OREB / G | 9.9 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.19 | 0.84 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.0% | 50.4% |
| TOV% | 16.0% | 16.0% |
| ORB% | 29.1% | 22.7% |
| FT Rate | 26.9% | 27.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.6% | 55.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 14.1% |
| DRB% | 74.3% | 67.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 27.9% | 31.1% |
Game Analysis
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