Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -13.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 144.5 Under |
| Money | HOF -1200 W&M +850 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +9 | 119 | Won |
| Massey | HOF -15.7 (-6.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.5 (-28.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 98% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -11.1 (-2.1) | 144.2 (-25.2) | 86% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -13.7 (-4.7) | 143.1 (-24.1) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -11.5 (-2.5) | 144.4 (-25.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -11.6 (-2.6) | 144.2 (-25.2) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | HOF 92 – 61 W&M |
| Jan 24, 2026 | W&M 89 – 82 HOF |
| Feb 14, 2025 | W&M 61 – 60 HOF |
| Jan 3, 2025 | W&M 74 – 56 HOF |
| Mar 5, 2023 | HOF 94 – 46 W&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOF | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-13 | 10-23 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 4-14 |
| Home | 11-2 | 7-7 |
| Away | 5-9 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.4 | 68.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.1 | 74.2 |
| Massey | 2.3 (#136) | -9.8 (#320) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.34 (#143) | -2.19 (#337) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.71 (#134) | -2.57 (#329) |
| RPI | 0.519 (#135) | 0.375 (#351) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOF | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.1% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.4% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 33.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.7 | 9.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.35 | 1.07 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.6% | 50.2% |
| TOV% | 16.1% | 16.2% |
| ORB% | 22.8% | 25.5% |
| FT Rate | 17.1% | 26.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.4% | 54.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 14.5% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 73.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 26.8% |
Game Analysis
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