Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 152.5 Over |
| Money | HOF -135 W&M +114 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +31 | 153 | Won |
| Massey | HOF -2.9 (+28.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.5 (-0.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 61% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 64% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -5.3 (+25.7) | 146.9 (+6.1) | 68% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -5.1 (+25.9) | 143.3 (+9.7) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -4.4 (+26.6) | 142.0 (+11.0) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -4.2 (+26.8) | 144.4 (+8.6) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | W&M 89 – 82 HOF |
| Feb 14, 2025 | W&M 61 – 60 HOF |
| Jan 3, 2025 | W&M 74 – 56 HOF |
| Jan 26, 2024 | HOF 64 – 55 W&M |
| Mar 5, 2023 | HOF 94 – 46 W&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOF | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 24-11 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 12-6 | 10-8 |
| Home | 10-2 | 11-2 |
| Away | 9-8 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 5-1 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.4 | 81.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 68.2 | 78.9 |
| Massey | 5.4 (#101) | 2.4 (#127) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.71 (#103) | 0.28 (#136) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.99 (#102) | 0.43 (#128) |
| RPI | 0.560 (#63) | 0.538 (#95) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOF | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.8% | 47.6% |
| 3PT% | 37.0% | 33.3% |
| REB / G | 38.1 | 34.0 |
| OREB / G | 11.8 | 8.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.16 | 1.45 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.7% | 54.7% |
| TOV% | 16.4% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 34.2% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 24.2% | 32.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.1% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 69.4% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 24.9% |
Game Analysis
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