Betting Lines
| Spread | W&M -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 157.5 Over |
| Money | W&M -175 HOF +145 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | W&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | W&M +7 | 171 | Won |
| Massey | W&M -2.7 (+4.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 158.1 (+12.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 58% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | W&M -0.8 (+6.2) | 150.1 (+20.9) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | W&M -2.4 (+4.6) | 148.2 (+22.8) | 64% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | W&M -2.5 (+4.5) | 149.4 (+21.6) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | W&M -1.9 (+5.1) | 150.3 (+20.7) | 58% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | HOF 92 – 61 W&M |
| Feb 14, 2025 | W&M 61 – 60 HOF |
| Jan 3, 2025 | W&M 74 – 56 HOF |
| Jan 26, 2024 | HOF 64 – 55 W&M |
| Mar 5, 2023 | HOF 94 – 46 W&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | W&M | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 24-11 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 12-6 |
| Home | 11-2 | 10-2 |
| Away | 6-9 | 9-8 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 5-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.5 | 74.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.9 | 68.2 |
| Massey | 3.3 (#119) | 3.8 (#109) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.64 (#113) | 0.69 (#107) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.68 (#118) | 0.96 (#106) |
| RPI | 0.561 (#76) | 0.563 (#70) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | W&M | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.7% | 38.1% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 36.3 |
| OREB / G | 8.6 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.33 | 1.16 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.8% | 52.2% |
| TOV% | 18.1% | 16.6% |
| ORB% | 25.6% | 34.2% |
| FT Rate | 29.2% | 26.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 49.8% | 48.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.7% | 15.7% |
| DRB% | 67.8% | 67.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.2% | 28.1% |
Game Analysis
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