Betting Lines
| Spread | W&M -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 145.5 Under |
| Money | W&M -140 HOF +120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | W&M win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | W&M +1 | 121 | Won |
| Massey | W&M -2.1 (-1.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.5 (-25.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 67% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | W&M -1.6 (-0.6) | 144.3 (-23.3) | 63% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | W&M -0.7 (+0.3) | 142.7 (-21.7) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | W&M -2.0 (-1.0) | 142.2 (-21.2) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | W&M -1.8 (-0.8) | 143.3 (-22.3) | 59% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | HOF 92 – 61 W&M |
| Jan 24, 2026 | W&M 89 – 82 HOF |
| Jan 3, 2025 | W&M 74 – 56 HOF |
| Jan 26, 2024 | HOF 64 – 55 W&M |
| Mar 5, 2023 | HOF 94 – 46 W&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | W&M | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 15-18 |
| Conference | 11-7 | 6-12 |
| Home | 12-2 | 6-7 |
| Away | 4-11 | 5-9 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 4-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.5 | 64.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.5 | 65.6 |
| Massey | -3.6 (#225) | -2.6 (#210) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.22 (#194) | -0.36 (#204) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.20 (#182) | -0.45 (#208) |
| RPI | 0.504 (#170) | 0.501 (#180) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | W&M | HOF |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.9% | 42.0% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 32.6% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 34.9 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 8.2 |
| AST / TO | 1.28 | 1.10 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.6% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 17.5% | 17.8% |
| ORB% | 26.0% | 24.1% |
| FT Rate | 27.2% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.3% | 46.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 15.4% |
| DRB% | 70.2% | 71.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.3% | 25.9% |
Game Analysis
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