Betting Lines
| Spread | HOF -13.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Over |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | HOF win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | HOF +48 | 140 | Won |
| Massey | HOF -13.7 (+34.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 136.5 (+3.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | HOF -15.9 (+32.1) | 135.8 (+4.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | HOF -14.1 (+33.9) | 136.7 (+3.3) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | HOF -13.4 (+34.6) | 136.7 (+3.3) | 88% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | HOF -12.6 (+35.4) | 136.1 (+3.9) | 87% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 9, 2026 | HOF 92 – 61 W&M |
| Jan 24, 2026 | W&M 89 – 82 HOF |
| Feb 14, 2025 | W&M 61 – 60 HOF |
| Jan 3, 2025 | W&M 74 – 56 HOF |
| Jan 26, 2024 | HOF 64 – 55 W&M |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | HOF | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 25-10 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 16-2 | 7-11 |
| Home | 11-2 | 11-5 |
| Away | 11-5 | 1-14 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 64.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 66.9 | 71.7 |
| Massey | 5.6 (#93) | -8.2 (#308) |
| Bradley-Terry | 1.26 (#77) | -1.17 (#282) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 1.38 (#86) | -1.71 (#303) |
| RPI | 0.592 (#28) | 0.463 (#256) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | HOF | W&M |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.8% | 43.0% |
| 3PT% | 36.1% | 36.9% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 32.1 |
| OREB / G | 7.3 | 9.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.30 | 0.94 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.9% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 15.8% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 22.9% | 27.9% |
| FT Rate | 15.7% | 20.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.4% | 53.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.6% | 17.2% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 70.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.4% | 19.7% |
Game Analysis
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