Betting Lines
| Spread | WIU -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 131.5 Over |
| Money | USI +130 WIU -120 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | USI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIU +5 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | WIU -2.7 (-2.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 128.4 (+12.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 14% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 7% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIU -3.6 (-1.4) | 131.6 (+9.4) | 31% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIU -4.5 (-0.5) | 135.1 (+5.9) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIU -4.1 (-0.9) | 130.3 (+10.7) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIU -3.4 (-1.6) | 130.8 (+10.2) | 32% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | USI 77 – 70 WIU |
| Jan 24, 2026 | USI 96 – 64 WIU |
| Feb 14, 2025 | WIU 87 – 62 USI |
| Jan 18, 2025 | USI 78 – 66 WIU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | WIU 82 – 76 USI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | USI | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-24 | 21-12 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 13-5 |
| Home | 5-10 | 10-5 |
| Away | 3-13 | 10-6 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L4 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.9 | 66.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 67.4 |
| Massey | -11.1 (#327) | -4.7 (#255) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.74 (#352) | -0.20 (#194) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.32 (#349) | 0.05 (#168) |
| RPI | 0.388 (#338) | 0.484 (#197) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | USI | WIU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 38.6% | 41.7% |
| 3PT% | 29.4% | 33.1% |
| REB / G | 36.5 | 40.7 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 14.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.76 | 0.87 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.8% | 46.6% |
| TOV% | 20.9% | 21.5% |
| ORB% | 27.6% | 37.6% |
| FT Rate | 24.7% | 22.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.8% | 47.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 13.8% |
| DRB% | 72.4% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 34.9% | 18.6% |
Game Analysis
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