Betting Lines
| Spread | WIU -0.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Over |
| Money | WIU -115 USI -105 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIU +25 | 149 | Won |
| Massey | USI -0.9 (+25.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.9 (+11.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USI -1.0 (+26.0) | 136.8 (+12.2) | 40% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIU -0.2 (+24.8) | 135.0 (+14.0) | 44% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USI -0.7 (+25.7) | 135.9 (+13.1) | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | USI -1.0 (+26.0) | 135.0 (+14.0) | 36% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | USI 77 – 70 WIU |
| Jan 24, 2026 | USI 96 – 64 WIU |
| Jan 18, 2025 | USI 78 – 66 WIU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | WIU 82 – 76 USI |
| Jan 26, 2024 | WIU 73 – 68 USI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIU | USI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 12-19 | 10-20 |
| Conference | 6-14 | 5-15 |
| Home | 8-7 | 8-7 |
| Away | 4-11 | 2-13 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 0-5 | 1-4 |
| Streak | W2 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.6 | 69.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 75.1 |
| Massey | -14.0 (#352) | -9.9 (#317) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.59 (#347) | -1.86 (#326) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.70 (#356) | -2.51 (#327) |
| RPI | 0.376 (#350) | 0.399 (#336) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIU | USI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.7% | 42.5% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 32.2 | 34.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.1 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.77 | 0.92 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.4% | 48.3% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 17.1% |
| ORB% | 29.2% | 28.7% |
| FT Rate | 18.0% | 23.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 52.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.5% | 16.7% |
| DRB% | 67.6% | 69.3% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.7% | 25.3% |
Game Analysis
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