Betting Lines
| Spread | WIU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 135.5 Over |
| Money | WIU -250 USI +250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | WIU +6 | 158 | Won |
| Massey | WIU -8.2 (-2.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 130.4 (+27.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | WIU -6.0 (-0.0) | 134.1 (+23.9) | 71% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | WIU -6.4 (-0.4) | 132.0 (+26.0) | 74% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | WIU -6.2 (-0.2) | 133.0 (+25.0) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | WIU -7.0 (-1.0) | 134.0 (+24.0) | 76% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | USI 77 – 70 WIU |
| Jan 24, 2026 | USI 96 – 64 WIU |
| Feb 14, 2025 | WIU 87 – 62 USI |
| Jan 18, 2025 | USI 78 – 66 WIU |
| Jan 26, 2024 | WIU 73 – 68 USI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIU | USI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 8-24 |
| Conference | 13-5 | 5-13 |
| Home | 10-5 | 5-10 |
| Away | 10-6 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L4 |
| Avg Pts For | 66.0 | 66.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 67.4 | 75.0 |
| Massey | -5.1 (#266) | -10.0 (#322) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.43 (#214) | -2.21 (#338) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.37 (#205) | -2.60 (#335) |
| RPI | 0.486 (#201) | 0.415 (#324) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIU | USI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 39.9% |
| 3PT% | 32.5% | 32.3% |
| REB / G | 38.8 | 35.6 |
| OREB / G | 13.6 | 10.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.92 | 0.79 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.8% | 45.7% |
| TOV% | 20.2% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 37.0% | 27.7% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 27.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 46.9% | 49.6% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.7% | 16.1% |
| DRB% | 71.3% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.9% | 34.9% |
Game Analysis
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