Betting Lines
| Spread | USI -3.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | WIU +140 USI -166 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | WIU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | USI +7 | 147 | Lost |
| Massey | USI -2.8 (-4.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.7 (+9.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 60% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 51% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | USI -3.1 (-3.9) | 136.9 (+10.1) | 40% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | USI -3.2 (-3.8) | 136.7 (+10.3) | 37% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | USI -2.0 (-5.0) | 133.3 (+13.7) | 36% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | USI -2.2 (-4.8) | 133.1 (+13.9) | 36% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 24, 2026 | USI 96 – 64 WIU |
| Feb 14, 2025 | WIU 87 – 62 USI |
| Jan 18, 2025 | USI 78 – 66 WIU |
| Feb 24, 2024 | WIU 82 – 76 USI |
| Jan 26, 2024 | WIU 73 – 68 USI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | WIU | USI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 5-26 | 7-23 |
| Conference | 1-19 | 4-16 |
| Home | 4-11 | 3-10 |
| Away | 1-15 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L5 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.2 | 67.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 78.5 | 74.3 |
| Massey | -19.0 (#360) | -13.2 (#338) |
| Bradley-Terry | -3.31 (#360) | -3.22 (#358) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -4.19 (#361) | -3.65 (#354) |
| RPI | 0.363 (#361) | 0.349 (#363) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | WIU | USI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.0% | 37.4% |
| 3PT% | 29.7% | 29.9% |
| REB / G | 31.6 | 36.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.2 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.65 | 0.77 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 43.9% | 43.6% |
| TOV% | 17.4% | 17.6% |
| ORB% | 28.0% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 25.8% | 24.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.3% | 48.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.1% | 16.8% |
| DRB% | 66.1% | 66.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 27.1% |
Game Analysis
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