Betting Lines
| Spread | SFA -0.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | SFA +110 GCU +100 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SFA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GCU +2 | 104 | Lost |
| Massey | GCU -2.7 (+0.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 149.5 (-45.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 21% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | GCU -2.5 (+0.5) | 143.2 (-39.2) | 41% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | GCU -2.3 (+0.3) | 147.0 (-43.0) | 38% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | GCU -2.3 (+0.3) | 147.4 (-43.4) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | GCU -1.8 (-0.2) | 148.1 (-44.1) | 44% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 3, 2024 | GCU 80 – 58 SFA |
| Feb 5, 2023 | GCU 86 – 83 SFA |
| Jan 7, 2023 | SFA 73 – 68 GCU |
| Jan 21, 2022 | SFA 71 – 46 GCU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SFA | GCU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 30-5 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 17-3 |
| Home | 10-5 | 16-0 |
| Away | 5-8 | 8-3 |
| Neutral | 3-2 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.6 | 77.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.8 | 66.8 |
| Massey | 2.6 (#131) | 8.9 (#62) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.40 (#135) | 2.40 (#20) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.72 (#131) | 2.79 (#27) |
| RPI | 0.507 (#159) | 0.599 (#35) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SFA | GCU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.8% | 47.7% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 37.0 | 38.2 |
| OREB / G | 12.6 | 11.6 |
| AST / TO | 0.72 | 0.88 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.4% | 53.7% |
| TOV% | 23.0% | 18.7% |
| ORB% | 35.8% | 35.3% |
| FT Rate | 29.9% | 34.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 47.7% | 46.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 23.3% | 19.5% |
| DRB% | 70.3% | 72.5% |
| Opp FT Rate | 37.6% | 24.5% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.