Betting Lines
| Spread | SDST -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Under |
| Money | SDST -700 KC +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDST +9 | 141 | Won |
| Massey | SDST -10.9 (-1.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.7 (-10.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 90% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDST -9.8 (-0.8) | 150.4 (-9.4) | 83% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDST -7.9 (+1.1) | 149.1 (-8.1) | 81% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDST -9.3 (-0.3) | 150.7 (-9.7) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDST -10.0 (-1.0) | 151.8 (-10.8) | 83% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | SDST 73 – 59 KC |
| Jan 17, 2026 | SDST 90 – 62 KC |
| Feb 23, 2025 | SDST 70 – 65 KC |
| Jan 24, 2025 | SDST 65 – 64 KC |
| Feb 16, 2024 | KC 72 – 67 SDST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDST | KC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 22-13 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 12-4 | 10-6 |
| Home | 11-3 | 10-3 |
| Away | 6-5 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 5-5 | 0-4 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 75.2 | 70.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.0 | 71.4 |
| Massey | 1.0 (#150) | -6.3 (#281) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.10 (#167) | -1.47 (#303) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.05 (#167) | -1.61 (#293) |
| RPI | 0.507 (#158) | 0.425 (#298) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDST | KC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.9% | 41.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 32.5% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 37.8 |
| OREB / G | 8.3 | 12.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 55.2% | 48.0% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 19.0% |
| ORB% | 25.3% | 34.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.7% | 19.4% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.5% | 53.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 71.6% | 75.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.0% | 30.8% |
Game Analysis
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