Betting Lines
| Spread | SDST -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | SDST -600 KC +400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDST +5 | 135 | Won |
| Massey | SDST -12.7 (-7.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.5 (-6.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 94% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDST -10.9 (-5.9) | 142.1 (-7.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDST -11.2 (-6.2) | 143.0 (-8.0) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDST -11.3 (-6.3) | 144.1 (-9.1) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDST -11.4 (-6.4) | 144.4 (-9.4) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | SDST 73 – 59 KC |
| Jan 17, 2026 | SDST 90 – 62 KC |
| Jan 24, 2025 | SDST 65 – 64 KC |
| Feb 16, 2024 | KC 72 – 67 SDST |
| Jan 26, 2024 | SDST 75 – 66 KC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDST | KC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 20-12 | 13-20 |
| Conference | 11-5 | 4-12 |
| Home | 13-1 | 9-5 |
| Away | 4-8 | 2-12 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 79.0 | 67.7 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.1 | 70.3 |
| Massey | 4.9 (#98) | -4.6 (#242) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.41 (#137) | -1.48 (#304) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.53 (#129) | -1.52 (#282) |
| RPI | 0.520 (#140) | 0.434 (#305) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDST | KC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 41.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.8% | 32.8% |
| REB / G | 40.2 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.7 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 0.89 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.8% | 48.6% |
| TOV% | 18.0% | 18.9% |
| ORB% | 34.2% | 32.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.8% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.5% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.8% | 16.9% |
| DRB% | 77.8% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.3% | 25.6% |
Game Analysis
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