Betting Lines
| Spread | SDST -13.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 151.5 Over |
| Money | SDST -1200 KC +750 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SDST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDST +28 | 152 | Won |
| Massey | SDST -15.1 (+12.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 150.6 (+1.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDST -12.9 (+15.1) | 147.4 (+4.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDST -10.8 (+17.2) | 147.3 (+4.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDST -11.2 (+16.8) | 148.0 (+4.0) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDST -11.8 (+16.2) | 147.8 (+4.2) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | SDST 73 – 59 KC |
| Feb 23, 2025 | SDST 70 – 65 KC |
| Jan 24, 2025 | SDST 65 – 64 KC |
| Feb 16, 2024 | KC 72 – 67 SDST |
| Jan 26, 2024 | SDST 75 – 66 KC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SDST | KC |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 14-18 | 4-27 |
| Conference | 7-9 | 1-15 |
| Home | 9-4 | 3-11 |
| Away | 4-10 | 1-15 |
| Neutral | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 1-4 |
| Streak | L2 | L15 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.4 | 67.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.5 | 84.8 |
| Massey | -0.6 (#175) | -12.2 (#334) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.80 (#239) | -2.84 (#348) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.74 (#217) | -3.34 (#345) |
| RPI | 0.462 (#247) | 0.376 (#350) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SDST | KC |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.6% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.7% | 29.8% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 32.9 |
| OREB / G | 10.7 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.17 | 0.81 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.4% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 17.0% | 19.5% |
| ORB% | 30.2% | 28.5% |
| FT Rate | 23.9% | 22.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 55.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.7% | 16.5% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 63.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 25.9% | 22.7% |
Game Analysis
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