Betting Lines
| Spread | SDST -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | KC +170 SDST -200 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | KC win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SDST +1 | 129 | Lost |
| Massey | SDST -5.1 (+4.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.8 (-12.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 36% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SDST -3.9 (+2.9) | 141.3 (-12.3) | 32% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SDST -3.2 (+2.2) | 140.6 (-11.6) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SDST -4.1 (+3.1) | 140.8 (-11.8) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SDST -3.7 (+2.7) | 143.5 (-14.5) | 32% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 27, 2026 | SDST 73 – 59 KC |
| Jan 17, 2026 | SDST 90 – 62 KC |
| Feb 23, 2025 | SDST 70 – 65 KC |
| Feb 16, 2024 | KC 72 – 67 SDST |
| Jan 26, 2024 | SDST 75 – 66 KC |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | KC | SDST |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-20 | 20-12 |
| Conference | 4-12 | 11-5 |
| Home | 9-5 | 13-1 |
| Away | 2-12 | 4-8 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 3-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.7 | 79.0 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.3 | 75.1 |
| Massey | -3.7 (#224) | 4.8 (#98) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.05 (#262) | 0.14 (#167) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -1.17 (#249) | 0.37 (#147) |
| RPI | 0.446 (#265) | 0.493 (#192) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | KC | SDST |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.9% | 47.5% |
| 3PT% | 33.5% | 35.0% |
| REB / G | 33.0 | 40.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.3 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.90 | 1.14 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 48.7% | 54.7% |
| TOV% | 19.1% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 31.1% | 32.1% |
| FT Rate | 25.4% | 21.7% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 50.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.1% | 13.1% |
| DRB% | 71.0% | 78.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.4% | 23.5% |
Game Analysis
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