Betting Lines
| Spread | SPU -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 134.5 Under |
| Money | SPU -250 RID +260 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SPU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | RID +5 | 119 | Lost |
| Massey | SPU -11.2 (-16.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 131.9 (-12.9) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 96% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SPU -7.1 (-12.1) | 133.6 (-14.6) | 72% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SPU -8.9 (-13.9) | 133.9 (-14.9) | 82% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SPU -9.6 (-14.6) | 134.4 (-15.4) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SPU -9.7 (-14.7) | 135.9 (-16.9) | 78% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 1, 2026 | RID 81 – 78 SPU |
| Jan 17, 2026 | SPU 69 – 58 RID |
| Feb 16, 2025 | SPU 66 – 65 RID |
| Feb 1, 2025 | RID 67 – 64 SPU |
| Mar 15, 2024 | SPU 50 – 48 RID |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SPU | RID |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 15-17 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 12-8 |
| Home | 8-5 | 9-4 |
| Away | 8-8 | 6-12 |
| Neutral | 3-1 | 0-1 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 64.6 | 70.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 63.8 | 72.3 |
| Massey | -0.2 (#166) | -7.6 (#296) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.12 (#164) | -1.73 (#320) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.18 (#160) | -2.19 (#317) |
| RPI | 0.510 (#151) | 0.419 (#305) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SPU | RID |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 40.2% |
| 3PT% | 31.2% | 30.7% |
| REB / G | 34.4 | 38.6 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 12.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.88 | 0.93 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.3% | 44.6% |
| TOV% | 19.9% | 17.9% |
| ORB% | 34.6% | 32.9% |
| FT Rate | 28.7% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.0% | 52.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 21.2% | 15.5% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 33.0% | 27.9% |
Game Analysis
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