Betting Lines
| Spread | MONT -5.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Under |
| Money | PRST +188 MONT -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | PRST win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | PRST +26 | 118 | Won |
| Massey | MONT -6.2 (+32.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 146.6 (-28.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 47% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | MONT -6.0 (+32.0) | 143.8 (-25.8) | 35% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | MONT -5.5 (+31.5) | 144.6 (-26.6) | 31% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | MONT -7.0 (+33.0) | 146.4 (-28.4) | 28% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | MONT -4.9 (+30.9) | 145.0 (-27.0) | 33% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 11, 2026 | MONT 75 – 72 PRST |
| Feb 28, 2026 | MONT 74 – 68 PRST |
| Jan 30, 2026 | MONT 64 – 60 PRST |
| Mar 1, 2025 | PRST 79 – 76 MONT |
| Jan 31, 2025 | MONT 92 – 78 PRST |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | PRST | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 17-15 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 8-10 | 12-6 |
| Home | 11-2 | 13-3 |
| Away | 5-11 | 8-7 |
| Neutral | 1-2 | 3-2 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 75.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.7 | 72.5 |
| Massey | -5.5 (#272) | 4.4 (#109) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.02 (#177) | 0.78 (#114) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.35 (#203) | 0.94 (#114) |
| RPI | 0.492 (#182) | 0.557 (#89) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | PRST | MONT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 39.8% | 47.7% |
| 3PT% | 31.0% | 35.1% |
| REB / G | 35.6 | 34.5 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 0.85 | 1.38 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 45.9% | 53.9% |
| TOV% | 16.7% | 14.8% |
| ORB% | 27.8% | 26.1% |
| FT Rate | 22.5% | 20.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.4% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.5% | 14.1% |
| DRB% | 70.0% | 75.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.0% | 23.2% |
Game Analysis
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