Betting Lines
| Spread | OAK -3.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 139.5 Under |
| Money | GB +150 OAK -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GB +10 | 128 | Won |
| Massey | OAK -1.0 (+11.0) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.5 (-9.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 43% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 42% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OAK -1.7 (+11.7) | 140.5 (-12.5) | 45% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OAK -1.7 (+11.7) | 140.6 (-12.6) | 38% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OAK -1.1 (+11.1) | 140.1 (-12.1) | 37% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OAK -1.3 (+11.3) | 142.5 (-14.5) | 41% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | GB 73 – 68 OAK |
| Jan 18, 2026 | OAK 88 – 63 GB |
| Mar 5, 2025 | OAK 96 – 72 GB |
| Mar 2, 2025 | OAK 87 – 84 GB |
| Jan 31, 2025 | OAK 68 – 54 GB |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GB | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-14 | 24-12 |
| Conference | 13-7 | 15-5 |
| Home | 10-5 | 10-3 |
| Away | 8-8 | 9-7 |
| Neutral | 0-1 | 5-2 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 5-0 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 68.6 | 76.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 70.2 | 73.2 |
| Massey | -2.2 (#203) | 2.4 (#134) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.17 (#188) | 0.81 (#111) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.30 (#201) | 0.76 (#126) |
| RPI | 0.498 (#175) | 0.559 (#85) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GB | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.1% | 44.9% |
| 3PT% | 35.3% | 33.4% |
| REB / G | 32.8 | 34.2 |
| OREB / G | 8.2 | 10.2 |
| AST / TO | 0.91 | 1.11 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 53.5% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 20.3% | 16.8% |
| ORB% | 27.1% | 29.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.9% | 22.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 48.9% | 51.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 13.4% | 17.1% |
| DRB% | 71.7% | 70.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.8% | 21.3% |
Game Analysis
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