Betting Lines
| Spread | OAK -4.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | GB +160 OAK -192 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OAK +25 | 151 | Lost |
| Massey | OAK -3.3 (-21.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 162.4 (-11.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 53% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OAK -1.1 (-23.9) | 152.6 (-1.6) | 45% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OAK -3.0 (-22.0) | 156.4 (-5.4) | 44% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OAK -1.4 (-23.6) | 152.8 (-1.8) | 39% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OAK -1.6 (-23.4) | 153.8 (-2.8) | 41% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | GB 73 – 68 OAK |
| Mar 5, 2025 | OAK 96 – 72 GB |
| Mar 2, 2025 | OAK 87 – 84 GB |
| Jan 31, 2025 | OAK 68 – 54 GB |
| Jan 26, 2024 | GB 69 – 59 OAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GB | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 18-15 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 12-8 |
| Home | 10-4 | 7-6 |
| Away | 6-9 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Last 5 | 5-0 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 73.9 | 81.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.9 | 82.8 |
| Massey | -3.4 (#221) | 3.2 (#121) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.29 (#144) | 0.74 (#104) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.18 (#153) | 0.67 (#123) |
| RPI | 0.539 (#98) | 0.577 (#58) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GB | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 47.5% | 46.1% |
| 3PT% | 35.9% | 33.9% |
| REB / G | 30.8 | 34.4 |
| OREB / G | 7.1 | 10.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.18 | 1.46 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 54.7% | 51.8% |
| TOV% | 16.5% | 14.5% |
| ORB% | 23.9% | 29.4% |
| FT Rate | 34.0% | 30.5% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.7% | 54.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 12.8% | 15.1% |
| DRB% | 72.9% | 65.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 26.9% | 19.1% |
Game Analysis
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