Betting Lines
| Spread | OAK -9.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 148.5 Over |
| Money | GB +300 OAK -400 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | GB win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OAK +3 | 171 | Lost |
| Massey | OAK -5.5 (+2.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 144.0 (+27.0) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 20% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 19% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OAK -4.4 (+1.4) | 144.3 (+26.7) | 27% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OAK -6.8 (+3.8) | 144.8 (+26.2) | 25% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OAK -5.3 (+2.3) | 146.6 (+24.4) | 34% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OAK -4.5 (+1.5) | 146.7 (+24.3) | 33% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | GB 73 – 68 OAK |
| Jan 18, 2026 | OAK 88 – 63 GB |
| Mar 5, 2025 | OAK 96 – 72 GB |
| Jan 31, 2025 | OAK 68 – 54 GB |
| Jan 26, 2024 | GB 69 – 59 OAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | GB | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 4-28 | 16-18 |
| Conference | 2-18 | 11-9 |
| Home | 3-11 | 9-4 |
| Away | 1-17 | 6-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.9 | 70.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 80.6 | 72.2 |
| Massey | -11.0 (#333) | -2.3 (#202) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.28 (#340) | -0.32 (#197) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.50 (#333) | -0.37 (#195) |
| RPI | 0.400 (#344) | 0.504 (#176) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | GB | OAK |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.4% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.1% | 29.4% |
| REB / G | 29.2 | 34.8 |
| OREB / G | 5.6 | 12.1 |
| AST / TO | 1.06 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.1% | 49.1% |
| TOV% | 18.5% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 17.5% | 34.3% |
| FT Rate | 29.6% | 21.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.5% | 51.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 14.8% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 68.2% | 66.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.2% | 20.7% |
Game Analysis
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