Betting Lines
| Spread | OAK -6.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | OAK -305 GB +245 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | GB +5 | 141 | Lost |
| Massey | OAK -7.5 (-12.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 160.5 (-19.5) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 70% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 72% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | OAK -5.9 (-10.9) | 148.9 (-7.9) | 79% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | OAK -5.3 (-10.3) | 152.3 (-11.3) | 71% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | OAK -4.7 (-9.7) | 153.2 (-12.2) | 69% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OAK -5.0 (-10.0) | 153.9 (-12.9) | 71% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 18, 2026 | OAK 88 – 63 GB |
| Mar 5, 2025 | OAK 96 – 72 GB |
| Mar 2, 2025 | OAK 87 – 84 GB |
| Jan 31, 2025 | OAK 68 – 54 GB |
| Jan 26, 2024 | GB 69 – 59 OAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OAK | GB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 18-15 |
| Conference | 12-8 | 12-8 |
| Home | 7-6 | 10-4 |
| Away | 8-9 | 6-9 |
| Neutral | 1-1 | 2-2 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 81.6 | 73.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 82.8 | 75.9 |
| Massey | 0.7 (#152) | -3.9 (#230) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.17 (#151) | -0.17 (#182) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.01 (#166) | -0.41 (#199) |
| RPI | 0.544 (#83) | 0.516 (#142) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OAK | GB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.6% | 47.8% |
| 3PT% | 34.3% | 36.5% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 30.4 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 7.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.47 | 1.24 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 52.4% | 54.8% |
| TOV% | 14.7% | 16.4% |
| ORB% | 30.8% | 25.9% |
| FT Rate | 29.8% | 32.9% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 54.7% | 54.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.2% | 13.5% |
| DRB% | 65.1% | 70.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 17.2% | 28.9% |
Game Analysis
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