Betting Lines
| Spread | OAK -10.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.5 Over |
| Money | OAK -700 GB +450 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OAK +24 | 168 | Won |
| Massey | OAK -11.9 (+12.1) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 145.8 (+22.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 93% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OAK -10.1 (+13.9) | 150.5 (+17.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | OAK -11.0 (+13.0) | 149.4 (+18.6) | 86% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | OAK -10.3 (+13.7) | 148.7 (+19.3) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OAK -10.1 (+13.9) | 150.5 (+17.5) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | GB 73 – 68 OAK |
| Jan 18, 2026 | OAK 88 – 63 GB |
| Mar 2, 2025 | OAK 87 – 84 GB |
| Jan 31, 2025 | OAK 68 – 54 GB |
| Jan 26, 2024 | GB 69 – 59 OAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OAK | GB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 4-28 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 2-18 |
| Home | 9-4 | 3-11 |
| Away | 6-11 | 1-17 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 80.6 |
| Massey | -2.4 (#204) | -11.0 (#333) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.29 (#198) | -2.34 (#344) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.35 (#193) | -2.55 (#335) |
| RPI | 0.512 (#162) | 0.398 (#346) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OAK | GB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 43.1% | 43.5% |
| 3PT% | 29.8% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 34.9 | 29.1 |
| OREB / G | 12.1 | 5.6 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.09 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.4% | 51.2% |
| TOV% | 18.3% | 18.2% |
| ORB% | 34.5% | 17.7% |
| FT Rate | 21.9% | 29.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.6% | 54.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 16.2% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 67.2% | 67.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.1% | 24.4% |
Game Analysis
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