Betting Lines
| Spread | OAK -14.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 136.5 Under |
| Money | OAK -1600 GB +800 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | OAK win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | OAK +14 | 122 | Won |
| Massey | OAK -13.8 (+0.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 141.4 (-19.4) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 96% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | OAK -11.7 (+2.3) | 133.2 (-11.2) | 87% ✓ |
| Model 4 ML ★ | OAK -11.8 (+2.2) | 136.5 (-14.5) | 87% ✓ |
| Model 3 ML | OAK -10.8 (+3.2) | 135.9 (-13.9) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | OAK -11.8 (+2.2) | 137.7 (-15.7) | 86% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 21, 2026 | GB 73 – 68 OAK |
| Jan 18, 2026 | OAK 88 – 63 GB |
| Mar 5, 2025 | OAK 96 – 72 GB |
| Mar 2, 2025 | OAK 87 – 84 GB |
| Jan 26, 2024 | GB 69 – 59 OAK |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | OAK | GB |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-18 | 4-28 |
| Conference | 11-9 | 2-18 |
| Home | 9-4 | 3-11 |
| Away | 6-11 | 1-17 |
| Neutral | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 0-5 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.5 | 69.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 72.2 | 80.6 |
| Massey | -1.1 (#182) | -11.6 (#333) |
| Bradley-Terry | -0.05 (#182) | -2.74 (#349) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.03 (#177) | -2.99 (#339) |
| RPI | 0.519 (#144) | 0.400 (#337) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | OAK | GB |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.8% | 44.6% |
| 3PT% | 28.5% | 33.6% |
| REB / G | 33.7 | 27.8 |
| OREB / G | 12.5 | 4.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.97 | 1.01 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 52.6% |
| TOV% | 17.7% | 19.4% |
| ORB% | 34.8% | 16.0% |
| FT Rate | 18.0% | 27.2% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 51.9% | 55.8% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.2% | 14.9% |
| DRB% | 65.1% | 66.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 20.5% | 23.6% |
Game Analysis
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