Betting Lines
| Spread | DEL -12.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | DEL -800 NCAT +650 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | DEL win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | DEL +19 | 161 | Won |
| Massey | DEL -17.3 (+1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.4 (+7.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 97% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | DEL -11.8 (+7.2) | 147.3 (+13.7) | 84% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | DEL -12.5 (+6.5) | 147.5 (+13.5) | 85% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | DEL -11.5 (+7.5) | 148.3 (+12.7) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | DEL -12.2 (+6.8) | 147.4 (+13.6) | 85% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 10, 2025 | DEL 98 – 88 NCAT |
| Feb 17, 2024 | DEL 62 – 54 NCAT |
| Feb 24, 2023 | DEL 73 – 71 NCAT |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | DEL | NCAT |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 19-14 | 7-25 |
| Conference | 10-8 | 5-13 |
| Home | 8-5 | 4-7 |
| Away | 8-6 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 3-3 | 1-4 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L1 | L10 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.3 | 65.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.7 | 77.9 |
| Massey | 2.0 (#140) | -11.5 (#333) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.28 (#148) | -1.47 (#304) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.62 (#136) | -2.02 (#312) |
| RPI | 0.512 (#148) | 0.433 (#290) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | DEL | NCAT |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 45.7% | 40.8% |
| 3PT% | 33.9% | 30.5% |
| REB / G | 34.2 | 30.1 |
| OREB / G | 9.3 | 8.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.39 | 1.17 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 51.6% | 46.5% |
| TOV% | 15.1% | 13.6% |
| ORB% | 27.4% | 22.8% |
| FT Rate | 22.3% | 26.3% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.8% | 55.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.0% | 17.0% |
| DRB% | 72.0% | 64.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.7% | 21.9% |
Game Analysis
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