Betting Lines
| Spread | SHU -6.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 141.5 Over |
| Money | SFPA +260 SHU -250 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SFPA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SFPA +4 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | SHU -4.7 (+8.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 139.2 (+6.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 41% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 30% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHU -5.3 (+9.3) | 139.0 (+7.0) | 29% ✗ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHU -5.5 (+9.5) | 140.1 (+5.9) | 29% ✗ |
| Baseline ML | SHU -5.1 (+9.1) | 141.4 (+4.6) | 27% ✗ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHU -5.5 (+9.5) | 140.0 (+6.0) | 26% ✗ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 4, 2024 | SHU 79 – 67 SFPA |
| Feb 9, 2023 | SFPA 78 – 76 SHU |
| Jan 16, 2023 | SHU 54 – 51 SFPA |
| Feb 26, 2022 | SHU 80 – 68 SFPA |
| Jan 23, 2022 | SFPA 85 – 74 SHU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SFPA | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 8-22 | 16-16 |
| Conference | 3-13 | 10-6 |
| Home | 6-8 | 11-5 |
| Away | 2-14 | 4-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 1-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L6 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 63.2 | 72.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.7 | 73.3 |
| Massey | -14.9 (#351) | -6.5 (#284) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.38 (#345) | -1.35 (#296) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -3.42 (#352) | -1.84 (#304) |
| RPI | 0.376 (#348) | 0.423 (#303) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SFPA | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.2% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 31.8% | 33.2% |
| REB / G | 32.7 | 31.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.6 | 7.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.82 | 1.00 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 49.9% |
| TOV% | 21.6% | 17.0% |
| ORB% | 32.2% | 23.7% |
| FT Rate | 19.5% | 22.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.9% | 52.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 17.3% | 21.4% |
| DRB% | 66.5% | 67.1% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.6% | 22.0% |
Game Analysis
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