Betting Lines
| Spread | SHU -1.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 149.5 Over |
| Money | SFPA -111 SHU -115 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SFPA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SFPA +2 | 154 | Won |
| Massey | SFPA -2.5 (-0.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 151.9 (+2.1) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 49% ✗ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 46% ✗ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SFPA -0.7 (+1.3) | 148.5 (+5.5) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SFPA -0.4 (+1.6) | 148.5 (+5.5) | 54% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SFPA -0.2 (+1.8) | 150.0 (+4.0) | 55% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SFPA -0.4 (+1.6) | 150.4 (+3.6) | 53% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 26, 2024 | SFPA 75 – 71 SHU |
| Jan 4, 2024 | SHU 79 – 67 SFPA |
| Jan 16, 2023 | SHU 54 – 51 SFPA |
| Feb 26, 2022 | SHU 80 – 68 SFPA |
| Jan 23, 2022 | SFPA 85 – 74 SHU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SFPA | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 13-18 | 16-17 |
| Conference | 9-7 | 8-8 |
| Home | 10-5 | 9-6 |
| Away | 3-13 | 7-11 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 70.9 | 69.8 |
| Avg Pts Against | 75.0 | 71.6 |
| Massey | -10.1 (#333) | -9.0 (#319) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.10 (#343) | -1.42 (#302) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.65 (#344) | -1.77 (#304) |
| RPI | 0.406 (#334) | 0.434 (#298) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SFPA | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.5% | 43.2% |
| 3PT% | 35.7% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 33.1 | 35.5 |
| OREB / G | 9.0 | 10.4 |
| AST / TO | 0.99 | 1.04 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.8% | 48.8% |
| TOV% | 18.9% | 18.5% |
| ORB% | 26.5% | 28.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 18.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.0% | 50.2% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.3% | 19.2% |
| DRB% | 71.2% | 69.8% |
| Opp FT Rate | 22.2% | 18.8% |
Game Analysis
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