Betting Lines
| Spread | SHU -2.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 150.5 Under |
| Money | SHU -150 SFPA +126 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHU +3 | 105 | Won |
| Massey | SHU -4.5 (-1.5) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 154.3 (-49.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 68% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 73% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHU -2.9 (+0.1) | 148.9 (-43.9) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHU -2.4 (+0.6) | 150.3 (-45.3) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHU -2.6 (+0.4) | 150.6 (-45.6) | 62% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHU -1.9 (+1.1) | 151.2 (-46.2) | 63% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 26, 2024 | SFPA 75 – 71 SHU |
| Jan 4, 2024 | SHU 79 – 67 SFPA |
| Feb 9, 2023 | SFPA 78 – 76 SHU |
| Feb 26, 2022 | SHU 80 – 68 SFPA |
| Jan 23, 2022 | SFPA 85 – 74 SHU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHU | SFPA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-17 | 13-18 |
| Conference | 8-8 | 9-7 |
| Home | 9-6 | 10-5 |
| Away | 7-11 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 69.8 | 70.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 71.6 | 75.0 |
| Massey | -9.2 (#326) | -9.9 (#331) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.54 (#313) | -1.63 (#317) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.06 (#316) | -2.27 (#327) |
| RPI | 0.417 (#315) | 0.417 (#314) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHU | SFPA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 41.9% | 44.3% |
| 3PT% | 30.3% | 35.9% |
| REB / G | 36.4 | 32.2 |
| OREB / G | 10.5 | 8.7 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.6% | 50.6% |
| TOV% | 18.8% | 18.3% |
| ORB% | 27.9% | 25.7% |
| FT Rate | 17.8% | 21.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 50.3% | 54.3% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.4% | 14.6% |
| DRB% | 70.9% | 71.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 20.9% |
Game Analysis
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