Betting Lines
| Spread | SHU -9.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 142.0 Over |
| Money | SHU -365 SFPA +285 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHU +12 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | SHU -8.8 (+3.2) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 137.2 (+8.8) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 80% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 91% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHU -5.8 (+6.2) | 138.8 (+7.2) | 73% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHU -4.8 (+7.2) | 137.7 (+8.3) | 69% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHU -4.5 (+7.5) | 138.1 (+7.9) | 70% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHU -5.3 (+6.7) | 139.5 (+6.5) | 72% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 26, 2024 | SFPA 75 – 71 SHU |
| Feb 9, 2023 | SFPA 78 – 76 SHU |
| Jan 16, 2023 | SHU 54 – 51 SFPA |
| Feb 26, 2022 | SHU 80 – 68 SFPA |
| Jan 23, 2022 | SFPA 85 – 74 SHU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHU | SFPA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 16-16 | 8-22 |
| Conference | 10-6 | 3-13 |
| Home | 11-5 | 6-8 |
| Away | 4-11 | 2-14 |
| Neutral | 1-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L6 |
| Avg Pts For | 72.8 | 63.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 73.3 | 73.7 |
| Massey | -6.8 (#286) | -11.1 (#334) |
| Bradley-Terry | -1.67 (#308) | -2.21 (#329) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.18 (#308) | -3.50 (#343) |
| RPI | 0.413 (#312) | 0.383 (#348) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHU | SFPA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.8% | 39.1% |
| 3PT% | 32.0% | 30.2% |
| REB / G | 32.6 | 31.5 |
| OREB / G | 8.7 | 11.0 |
| AST / TO | 0.87 | 0.80 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 47.9% | 44.9% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 21.8% |
| ORB% | 24.3% | 30.2% |
| FT Rate | 20.9% | 20.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.2% | 52.5% |
| Opp TOV% | 20.8% | 19.3% |
| DRB% | 66.5% | 63.7% |
| Opp FT Rate | 21.5% | 23.3% |
Game Analysis
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