Betting Lines
| Spread | SHU -3.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 146.0 Over |
| Money | SHU -150 SFPA +130 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHU +12 | 148 | Won |
| Massey | SHU -2.7 (+9.3) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 148.2 (-0.2) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 63% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 59% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHU -2.7 (+9.3) | 146.8 (+1.2) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHU -1.8 (+10.2) | 146.6 (+1.4) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHU -1.7 (+10.3) | 147.0 (+1.0) | 63% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHU -1.6 (+10.4) | 147.0 (+1.0) | 60% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 26, 2024 | SFPA 75 – 71 SHU |
| Jan 4, 2024 | SHU 79 – 67 SFPA |
| Feb 9, 2023 | SFPA 78 – 76 SHU |
| Jan 16, 2023 | SHU 54 – 51 SFPA |
| Jan 23, 2022 | SFPA 85 – 74 SHU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHU | SFPA |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 10-20 | 9-21 |
| Conference | 6-12 | 5-13 |
| Home | 6-7 | 4-8 |
| Away | 4-15 | 5-13 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 1-4 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.4 | 67.5 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.0 | 74.2 |
| Massey | -10.6 (#322) | -10.5 (#321) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.29 (#337) | -2.34 (#340) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.74 (#336) | -2.59 (#331) |
| RPI | 0.400 (#339) | 0.409 (#332) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHU | SFPA |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 42.1% |
| 3PT% | 33.8% | 32.0% |
| REB / G | 35.1 | 36.1 |
| OREB / G | 10.9 | 11.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.01 | 1.05 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.6% | 47.1% |
| TOV% | 19.8% | 18.1% |
| ORB% | 31.2% | 31.2% |
| FT Rate | 18.8% | 19.0% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.5% | 51.7% |
| Opp TOV% | 15.9% | 18.3% |
| DRB% | 68.6% | 68.0% |
| Opp FT Rate | 16.1% | 18.5% |
Game Analysis
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