Betting Lines
| Spread | SFPA -4.0 Home covered |
| O/U | 143.5 Over |
| Money | SFPA -180 SHU +155 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SFPA win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SFPA +11 | 159 | Won |
| Massey | SFPA -3.1 (+7.9) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 147.3 (+11.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 54% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 60% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SFPA -1.8 (+9.2) | 141.3 (+17.7) | 56% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SFPA -1.7 (+9.3) | 144.3 (+14.7) | 59% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SFPA -1.8 (+9.2) | 144.6 (+14.4) | 58% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SFPA -1.5 (+9.5) | 144.0 (+15.0) | 62% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Jan 26, 2024 | SFPA 75 – 71 SHU |
| Jan 4, 2024 | SHU 79 – 67 SFPA |
| Feb 9, 2023 | SFPA 78 – 76 SHU |
| Jan 16, 2023 | SHU 54 – 51 SFPA |
| Feb 26, 2022 | SHU 80 – 68 SFPA |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SFPA | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 9-21 | 10-20 |
| Conference | 5-13 | 6-12 |
| Home | 4-8 | 6-7 |
| Away | 5-13 | 4-15 |
| Neutral | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 2-3 | 3-2 |
| Streak | L2 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 67.5 | 71.4 |
| Avg Pts Against | 74.2 | 76.0 |
| Massey | -9.8 (#318) | -9.5 (#316) |
| Bradley-Terry | -2.19 (#330) | -1.80 (#314) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -2.60 (#326) | -2.38 (#318) |
| RPI | 0.394 (#331) | 0.409 (#316) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SFPA | SHU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 42.0% | 42.8% |
| 3PT% | 31.6% | 34.0% |
| REB / G | 34.8 | 35.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.2 | 10.9 |
| AST / TO | 1.02 | 0.96 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.7% | 50.0% |
| TOV% | 17.9% | 19.8% |
| ORB% | 29.8% | 30.3% |
| FT Rate | 19.1% | 18.1% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 53.7% | 53.9% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.3% | 16.4% |
| DRB% | 68.1% | 68.9% |
| Opp FT Rate | 18.4% | 15.3% |
Game Analysis
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