Betting Lines
| Spread | SHSU -4.5 Home covered |
| O/U | 140.5 Over |
| Money | SHSU -213 NMSU +163 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | SHSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | SHSU +12 | 146 | Won |
| Massey | SHSU -6.3 (+5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 143.4 (+2.6) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 79% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | SHSU -4.4 (+7.6) | 141.3 (+4.7) | 71% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | SHSU -7.0 (+5.0) | 139.7 (+6.3) | 75% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | SHSU -3.8 (+8.2) | 139.6 (+6.4) | 67% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | SHSU -3.9 (+8.1) | 140.0 (+6.0) | 67% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Mar 12, 2026 | SHSU 69 – 61 NMSU |
| Dec 21, 2025 | NMSU 87 – 78 SHSU |
| Mar 8, 2025 | SHSU 76 – 69 NMSU |
| Jan 3, 2025 | NMSU 75 – 71 SHSU |
| Feb 23, 2024 | SHSU 79 – 58 NMSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | SHSU | NMSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-12 | 13-19 |
| Conference | 13-3 | 7-9 |
| Home | 12-2 | 12-3 |
| Away | 7-9 | 1-13 |
| Neutral | 2-1 | 0-3 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L1 |
| Avg Pts For | 71.3 | 65.9 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.9 | 75.2 |
| Massey | -2.8 (#211) | -5.4 (#270) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.00 (#175) | -0.64 (#241) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | -0.18 (#189) | -0.73 (#232) |
| RPI | 0.509 (#154) | 0.463 (#243) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | SHSU | NMSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 40.5% | 41.6% |
| 3PT% | 32.2% | 32.1% |
| REB / G | 35.8 | 33.5 |
| OREB / G | 11.1 | 8.9 |
| AST / TO | 0.95 | 0.85 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 46.2% | 47.3% |
| TOV% | 17.8% | 20.0% |
| ORB% | 28.9% | 26.2% |
| FT Rate | 26.3% | 26.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.8% | 51.1% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.5% | 17.7% |
| DRB% | 73.1% | 72.2% |
| Opp FT Rate | 24.9% | 37.6% |
Game Analysis
Loading game analysis…
Failed to load game analysis.