Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -2.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 153.5 Under |
| Money | LBSU +115 UCI -150 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | LBSU win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +11 | 133 | Lost |
| Massey | UCI -5.3 (-5.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 153.7 (-20.7) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 46% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 37% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -3.4 (-7.6) | 146.9 (-13.9) | 31% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -4.8 (-6.2) | 146.5 (-13.5) | 32% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -4.1 (-6.9) | 146.7 (-13.7) | 28% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -3.8 (-7.2) | 148.9 (-15.9) | 28% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | UCI 69 – 58 LBSU |
| Jan 9, 2026 | UCI 74 – 64 LBSU |
| Mar 2, 2025 | UCI 70 – 60 LBSU |
| Jan 31, 2025 | UCI 80 – 75 LBSU |
| Mar 16, 2024 | LBSU 83 – 79 UCI |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | LBSU | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 21-15 | 24-10 |
| Conference | 10-10 | 17-3 |
| Home | 8-5 | 13-0 |
| Away | 9-7 | 8-9 |
| Neutral | 4-3 | 3-1 |
| Last 5 | 3-2 | 4-1 |
| Streak | L1 | L2 |
| Avg Pts For | 76.2 | 76.6 |
| Avg Pts Against | 76.2 | 68.8 |
| Massey | -0.4 (#174) | 8.6 (#68) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.40 (#136) | 1.24 (#81) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.33 (#150) | 1.62 (#84) |
| RPI | 0.510 (#153) | 0.576 (#63) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | LBSU | UCI |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 46.5% | 46.3% |
| 3PT% | 32.3% | 36.6% |
| REB / G | 37.8 | 37.2 |
| OREB / G | 11.9 | 9.8 |
| AST / TO | 1.10 | 1.26 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 50.9% | 51.4% |
| TOV% | 18.4% | 18.0% |
| ORB% | 32.8% | 29.6% |
| FT Rate | 25.6% | 24.8% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 52.0% | 45.0% |
| Opp TOV% | 19.2% | 17.9% |
| DRB% | 69.0% | 72.4% |
| Opp FT Rate | 23.9% | 25.4% |
Game Analysis
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