Betting Lines
| Spread | UCI -10.5 Away covered |
| O/U | 142.5 Under |
| Money | UCI -600 LBSU +440 |
Model Predictions
| Spread | Total | UCI win | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Actual | UCI +10 | 138 | Won |
| Massey | UCI -11.7 (-1.7) | — | — |
| Massey Totals | — | 142.3 (-4.3) | — |
| Bradley-Terry | — | — | 92% ✓ |
| Weighted B-T | — | — | 95% ✓ |
| Baseline Plus ML | UCI -10.3 (-0.3) | 142.6 (-4.6) | 82% ✓ |
| Efficiency Plus ML ★ | UCI -12.0 (-2.0) | 143.4 (-5.4) | 87% ✓ |
| Baseline Tuned ML | UCI -10.0 (-0.0) | 140.8 (-2.8) | 84% ✓ |
| Baseline ML | UCI -10.6 (-0.6) | 141.5 (-3.5) | 84% ✓ |
Predictions use only rating snapshots dated before tip-off. Parenthesised values are the signed error vs. the actual result. Model performance →
Last 5 Meetings
| Feb 20, 2026 | UCI 69 – 58 LBSU |
| Mar 2, 2025 | UCI 70 – 60 LBSU |
| Jan 31, 2025 | UCI 80 – 75 LBSU |
| Mar 16, 2024 | LBSU 83 – 79 UCI |
| Mar 3, 2024 | UCI 82 – 61 LBSU |
Team Comparison
| Record & Ratings | UCI | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | 23-12 | 10-22 |
| Conference | 15-5 | 6-14 |
| Home | 12-5 | 7-9 |
| Away | 7-5 | 3-13 |
| Neutral | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| Last 5 | 4-1 | 2-3 |
| Streak | L2 | W1 |
| Avg Pts For | 74.2 | 73.2 |
| Avg Pts Against | 69.4 | 79.0 |
| Massey | 2.4 (#132) | -5.6 (#250) |
| Bradley-Terry | 0.54 (#127) | -1.28 (#278) |
| W. Bradley-Terry | 0.66 (#130) | -1.53 (#266) |
| RPI | 0.521 (#132) | 0.416 (#312) |
| Shooting & Four Factors | UCI | LBSU |
|---|---|---|
| FG% | 44.0% | 44.0% |
| 3PT% | 35.0% | 30.0% |
| REB / G | 37.4 | 31.6 |
| OREB / G | 10.4 | 10.5 |
| AST / TO | 1.20 | 0.99 |
| Four Factors — Offense | ||
| eFG% | 49.6% | 49.4% |
| TOV% | 17.6% | 17.5% |
| ORB% | 29.0% | 29.0% |
| FT Rate | 26.9% | 18.6% |
| Four Factors — Defense | ||
| Opp eFG% | 44.8% | 57.4% |
| Opp TOV% | 18.2% | 18.6% |
| DRB% | 65.9% | 71.6% |
| Opp FT Rate | 19.9% | 32.5% |
Game Analysis
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